Forgot to mention – 16 is where they took Barzal that year.
Boston held three straight picks (13, 14, 15) right before, taking Jakub Zboril, Jake DeBrusk and Zachary Senshyn. Dallas took Denis Guryanov at 12, who looked promising for a while but has some holes in his game. And at 11, Florida took Lawson Crouse, who they then traded to Arizona in order to dump Dave Bolland's contract. Islanders lucked out hard right there.
I simplified it a bit. The two full trades:
Last offseason: EDM trades Jordan Eberle to NYI for Ryan Strome
2015 draft: NYI trades Griffin Reinhart to EDM for picks 16 and 33
The Isles then sent pick 33 and their third-rounder (72nd) to the Bolts for the 28th pick, where they took Beauvillier, who is filling in really well for Andrew Ladd on that line and may keep that spot.
Bill's been fantastic this year, but he's also playing with some stud linemates (Reilly Smith and Jonathan Marchessault) and getting a ton of power play time that he wouldn't get with the Jackets.
As for the Clarkson deal, despite its name, LTIR is a temporary fix, since those contracts still count towards the cap at the beginning of the season. They're only meant to be used for in-season relief. Columbus already had about $4M of dead money this year to begin with, thanks to the Boll, Tyutin and Hartnell buyouts. Hartsy's buyout number doubles next year, too, so even with Boll's buyout ending they'd go into 2018-19 with $4.5M of dead money.
Adding Clarkson's AAV ($5.25 million) to the books, and it's not a pretty picture. You're talking about a roster that would have to be $10M under the cap on opening night this year and next (and $8 mil in 2019-20).
They'd get about half of that back in-season with Clarkson on LTIR, but that's not when teams are selling.
With about $6 mil of cap space, the Jackets could have afforded to keep the Clarkson deal this season. But, had they done nothing and Anderson got taken, they'd have to move that contract before extending Karlsson (due for a big pay raise), Bjorkstrand and Nutivaara in all likelihood. Jenner, Calvert and Johnson are on expiring deals, too.
With that in mind, the price wasn't too steep. A late first and a future second-rounder – presumably also a late one – to shed that deal and protect an extra forward? That's a fair price.
Give me Josh Anderson at $1.85M for the next two years over whatever Bill's next deal looks like. I'm a bigger fan of Karlsson than most, but he wouldn't do more for this year's team than Anderson has – and wouldn't be as much of a bargain the next two years.
He's an AHL guy, not a prospect (played three NHL games six years ago), but he's a Cleveland native and a cool story.
Technically, the Jackets don't even own his rights (he signed an AHL-only deal) so don't expect to see him in Columbus unless things get catastrophically bad. Still, I'm sure he's showing the young guys what it means to be a pro. That's what his biggest impact will be.
Hindsight is obviously 20/20, but…
As good as Karlsson's been, there was a bit of a domino effect with his departure. I'm a huge fan of his, but him staying on this team would have probably meant:
1) Losing Korpi *or* Anderson in the expansion draft *and*
2) (probably) Keeping Clarkson's deal on the books
3) PLD probably doesn't get a chance at center for a while, so…
4) We never see that 9-18-77 line that's been crushing it lately
I don't think he'd put up the point totals he's putting up now. Would you trade Josh Anderson straight up for William Karlsson? Considering Anderson is looking like a legit top-six winger and has three seasons at less than two million, whereas Karlsson is going to RFA at the end of this year, I'd take Anderson. But it's close.
With hindsight, I'm sure the Jackets wish they'd protected Karlsson instead of Jenner, though. But at the time, it made sense.
Overall, I think the Jackets made the right call. Remember, PLD wasn't great at wing, and he's really taken off at center. Don't think that would've happened had we kept Bill around.
I have already booked my pass for the Vitaly Abramov hype train