Draft Analysis: Kent Johnson's Incredibly High Ceiling Makes Him Well Worth The Number Five Overall Pick

By Dan Dukart on August 9, 2021 at 1:20 pm
Kent Johnson skates with the puck against the University of Minnesota
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By drafting Kent Johnson with the 5th overall pick in the 2021 NHL Draft, the Columbus Blue Jackets made a statement that talent and a high potential would supersede a steady, dependable blue-chip prospect. 

Johnson, who turns 19 in October, may be a foil to Cole Sillinger, the player the Blue Jackets selected with the 12th overall pick. Whereas Sillinger is viewed as a high-floor player, Johnson is seen as a high-ceiling player, possibly the player with the most star power in the entire draft. The Athletic's Corey Pronman wrote that "In a sentence, Johnson projects as a top-line NHL forward, likely on the wing, who has the most star potential in the draft but also has the most significant physical drawbacks of the top prospects."

An NHL.com scouting report listed Mat Barzal as his current player comparable, saying he has "exceptional offensive instincts and puck skills". SmahtScouting suggests he projects to the NHL "as high as a top-line center/winger, floor is a top six forward."

It's true that all of these scouting reports, however glowing, are merely projections. But Johnson's dynamic skill shines through. The below video, courtesy of SpecmenceCBJ, clips all of Johnson's 27 points from his freshman season at the University of Michigan.

Johnson isn't a perfect prospect. There are concerns that his game may not translate seamlessly to the NHL, where he'll face defensive players far superior to his competition at the NCAA and previously BCHL levels. Whereas his talent should shine through on a power play or at 3v3, his ability to get into high-danger areas at 5v5 could take some time. 

But for a franchise that needs a true top-of-the-lineup, bring-you-out-of-your-seat type of player, the 6'1, 167 pound forward checks a lot of boxes. 

This is a crucial season for Johnson. His Michigan squad is a favorite to compete for a national championship, and he's projected to play a key role for Team Canada at the U20 World Junior Championships.

The Blue Jackets may struggle through the 2021-22 season, but if all breaks right, Johnson will be ready to play a starring role on a resurgent team in Columbus in a little over one year's time.

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