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How Much Did Olivia Really Improve? Can He Repeat It? A Deep Dive into Numbers

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seeknayog's picture
9/21/25 at 8:07p in the Blue Jackets Forum
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I was wondering if Olivia could repeat his dramatic increase in points. The last three years Olivia had 15, 12 and then 36 points for the season. More than double last year? Wow.  

But lets look at that at a more granular level. He played more games last year. 66, 54 and then 82 last year. Also he got more ice time going from around 11, 11 and then 14 minutes per game last year.  So lets equalize this. How much production vs total time on ice?  

I have the data in points per min on ice but those numbers are decimals. So I converted it to  Points per 60 min ice time.  The last 3 years for Olivia are 1.17, 1,18 and 1.62. The jump from 1.18 to 1.62 represents a 37% jump.  Can he maintain that?

For comparison Marchy's last 3 years of Points per 60 min ice time was 1.57, 1.96, 3.39. That last year jump is 72% jump in production. 

I dont think Olivia can fully maintain that level of last year. He is not young and does not project to have major improvement ahead. I wouldnt be surprised if he settled to between the last 2 years (at maybe a 1.40 level). If he plays the same ice time and games he would still put up around 27 points. I think that is realistic.

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of 1st Ohio Battery unless otherwise noted.

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